WC26 Predictor
Group H
Jun 21, 22:00 UTC
🇺🇾 Uruguay vs Cape Verde 🇨🇻
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
92%
7%
1%
Uruguay win Draw Cape Verde win
MetricUruguayCape Verde
Power rating (current)19301600
World rank#10#46
Expected goals2.950.15
Win probability92%1%

Draw probability: 7%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.

Strength comparison

Uruguay 1930
1600 Cape Verde

Uruguay are the stronger side on our ratings, by 330 points.

The case for each side

🇺🇾 Uruguay
World #10 · Rating 1930 · CONMEBOL

Two-time champions (1930 and 1950) who continue to punch far above their population.

🇨🇻 Cape Verde
World #46 · Rating 1600 · CAF

An island side whose rise is among the feel-good stories of the 48-team era.