Group D
Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
🇺🇸 United States
vs
Paraguay 🇵🇾
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | United States | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1830 | 1720 |
| World rank | #19 | #35 |
| Expected goals | 1.85 | 0.75 |
| Win probability | 64% | 15% |
Draw probability: 22%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
United States are the stronger side on our ratings, by 110 points.
The case for each side
🇺🇸 United States
World #19 · Rating 1830 · CONCACAF
Semi-finalists in 1930 and quarter-finalists in 2002, now backed by a deep young core.
🇵🇾 Paraguay
World #35 · Rating 1720 · CONMEBOL
Their high point was the 2010 World Cup quarter-final, and they are traditionally hard to beat.