Group D
Jun 19, 19:00 UTC
🇺🇸 United States
vs
Australia 🇦🇺
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | United States | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1830 | 1760 |
| World rank | #19 | #30 |
| Expected goals | 1.65 | 0.95 |
| Win probability | 54% | 22% |
Draw probability: 25%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
United States are the stronger side on our ratings, by 70 points.
The case for each side
🇺🇸 United States
World #19 · Rating 1830 · CONCACAF
Semi-finalists in 1930 and quarter-finalists in 2002, now backed by a deep young core.
🇦🇺 Australia
World #30 · Rating 1760 · AFC
Round of 16 finishes in 2006 and 2022 since joining the Asian confederation.