WC26 Predictor
Group D
Jun 20, 03:00 UTC
🇹🇷 Türkiye vs Paraguay 🇵🇾
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
61%
23%
16%
Türkiye win Draw Paraguay win
MetricTürkiyeParaguay
Power rating (current)18201720
World rank#21#35
Expected goals1.800.80
Win probability61%16%

Draw probability: 23%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.

Strength comparison

Türkiye 1820
1720 Paraguay

Türkiye are the stronger side on our ratings, by 100 points.

The case for each side

🇹🇷 Türkiye
World #21 · Rating 1820 · UEFA

Their standout World Cup was a third-place finish in 2002.

🇵🇾 Paraguay
World #35 · Rating 1720 · CONMEBOL

Their high point was the 2010 World Cup quarter-final, and they are traditionally hard to beat.