Group I
Jun 26, 19:00 UTC
🇸🇳 Senegal
vs
Iraq 🇮🇶
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Senegal | Iraq |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1880 | 1640 |
| World rank | #14 | #43 |
| Expected goals | 2.50 | 0.15 |
| Win probability | 89% | 1% |
Draw probability: 10%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Senegal are the stronger side on our ratings, by 240 points.
The case for each side
🇸🇳 Senegal
World #14 · Rating 1880 · CAF
World Cup quarter-finalists on their 2002 debut, with regular qualification since.
🇮🇶 Iraq
World #43 · Rating 1640 · AFC
Asian Cup champions in 2007 in one of the game's great underdog stories.