WC26 Analysis
Full time Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
Team A

🇶🇦 Qatar

Rating 1607 · Rank #44

FT 1:1 · Ref 0:2 · different result
1:1
Team B

Switzerland 🇨🇭

Rating 1888 · Rank #16

Model result distribution
3%
13%
85%
Qatar win Draw Switzerland win
Expected goals 0.25 : 2.35 Qatar / Switzerland
Model result share 3% · 13% · 85% Qatar / Draw / Switzerland
Power rating 1607 : 1888 Current model rating
World rank #44 : #16 Among 48 teams

Draw share: 13%. Model: Elo result distribution + Poisson score reference, re-calibrated after each played match. This site provides football data analysis for sports discussion only. It does not provide betting advice, gambling tips, odds, bookmaker links, or guaranteed outcomes.

Match preview

Qatar and Switzerland have played their Group B fixture, finishing 1–1. The pre-match model reference was 0–2, against the model's reference.

The result re-calibrates both ratings (Qatar 1607, Switzerland 1888) and feeds the projections for the rest of the group, where the model now has Qatar finishing 4th and Switzerland 1st.

Match context and talking points

This fixture has already finished 1-1, so the notes below work as post-match context alongside the final score. The model currently places Qatar 4th in Group B and Switzerland 1st, making the result relevant to qualification pressure and margin for error in later games.

Qatar's main strengths are Akram Afif creativity and Asian Cup core, while the chief concern to watch is Away-from-home test and Defensive pace. For Switzerland, the standout qualities are Tournament experience and Organized defending, with Limited scoring margin and Aging core pieces the area to monitor.

Stylistically, the two sides contrast. Qatar: Technical and patient, built on a well-drilled, academy-developed core. Switzerland: Disciplined, well-structured and difficult to break down.

Strength comparison

Qatar 1607
1888 Switzerland

Switzerland are the stronger side on our ratings, by 281 points.

Team data for this matchup

🇶🇦 Qatar
World rank #44 - Rating 1607
Key facts
FIFA rank
56th
Head coach
Julen Lopetegui
Key player
Akram Afif
Qualified
AFC (Asia)
Best World Cup
Group stage (2022)

Overview: Qatar arrive as a compact, experienced Asian side trying to prove they can compete away from the home conditions of 2022.

World Cup history: Qatar debuted as hosts in 2022 and exited in the group stage. Their 2026 appearance is their first World Cup reached through qualification.

Recent form: Qatar qualified directly from AFC qualifying in October 2025 by beating the United Arab Emirates 2-1.

2026 angle: Qatar's aim is to turn recent Asian tournament experience into a first World Cup point and possible knockout push. Their matches against Canada, Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina will test their defensive pace and midfield control.

Strengths
  • Akram Afif creativity
  • Asian Cup core
  • Compact structure
Concerns
  • Away-from-home test
  • Defensive pace
🇨🇭 Switzerland
World rank #16 - Rating 1888
Key facts
FIFA rank
19th
Head coach
Murat Yakin
Key player
Granit Xhaka (captain)
Qualified
UEFA (group winner)
Best World Cup
Quarter-finals (1934, 1938, 1954)

Overview: Switzerland are a seasoned European tournament side known for organization, continuity and steady knockout-level performance.

World Cup history: Switzerland have a long World Cup history and have reached the quarter-finals three times, most recently as hosts in 1954. In recent editions they have usually been competitive enough to reach the knockout rounds.

Recent form: Switzerland qualified as a UEFA group winner before being drawn with Canada, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Qatar in Group B.

2026 angle: Switzerland look like the most proven Group B team on paper. Their challenge is turning control and defensive reliability into enough goals to win the group.

Strengths
  • Tournament experience
  • Organized defending
  • Strong central midfield
Concerns
  • Limited scoring margin
  • Aging core pieces