🇵🇾 Paraguay
Rating · Rank #35
Australia 🇦🇺
Rating · Rank #30
Draw share: 25%. Model: Elo result distribution + Poisson score reference, re-calibrated after each played match. This site provides football data analysis for sports discussion only. It does not provide betting advice, gambling tips, odds, bookmaker links, or guaranteed outcomes.
Match preview
Paraguay and Australia have played their Group D fixture, finishing 0–0. The pre-match model reference was 1–1, with the model getting the result right.
The result re-calibrates both ratings (Paraguay 1724, Australia 1767) and feeds the projections for the rest of the group, where the model now has Paraguay finishing 3rd and Australia 2nd.
Match context and talking points
This fixture has already finished 0-0, so the notes below work as post-match context alongside the final score. The model currently places Paraguay 3rd in Group D and Australia 2nd, making the result relevant to qualification pressure and margin for error in later games.
Paraguay's main strengths are Defensive discipline and Physical duels, while the chief concern to watch is Low scoring margin and Limited creative depth. For Australia, the standout qualities are Aerial strength and Tournament experience, with Limited attacking depth and Can be pinned back the area to monitor.
Stylistically, the two sides contrast. Paraguay: Compact, combative and organised, thriving on set pieces and counterattacks. Australia: Physically strong, organised and relentless — hard to beat over 90 minutes.
Strength comparison
Australia are the stronger side on our ratings, by 43 points.
Team data for this matchup
- FIFA rank
- 41st
- Head coach
- Gustavo Alfaro
- Key player
- Miguel Almirón
- Qualified
- CONMEBOL (South America)
- Best World Cup
- Quarter-finals (2010)
Overview: Paraguay return as a disciplined, combative CONMEBOL side.
World Cup history: Paraguay are back at the World Cup for the first time since 2010, when they reached the quarter-finals. They have a history of awkward, low-margin tournament football.
Recent form: Paraguay qualified sixth in CONMEBOL, enough for a direct berth in the expanded format, with high-profile qualifying wins over Brazil and Argentina.
2026 angle: They open Group D against co-host United States and can make the group uncomfortable with compact defending and direct attacking moments. Their main task is turning defensive structure into enough goals.
- Defensive discipline
- Physical duels
- Counterattacking threat
- Low scoring margin
- Limited creative depth
- FIFA rank
- 27th
- Head coach
- Tony Popovic
- Key player
- Mathew Ryan (captain)
- Qualified
- AFC (Asia)
- Best World Cup
- Round of 16 (2006, 2022)
Overview: Australia bring a pragmatic, experienced Socceroos group that is comfortable playing tight tournament matches.
World Cup history: Australia are at a sixth consecutive World Cup and seventh overall. Their best finishes are Round of 16 runs in 2006 and 2022.
Recent form: Australia moved through AFC qualifying after a perfect second round and later secured direct qualification with a comeback win over Saudi Arabia.
2026 angle: In Group D, Australia's physicality and set-piece game make them difficult to separate from the pack. Their ceiling depends on whether they can generate enough open-play chances against higher-possession teams.
- Aerial strength
- Tournament experience
- Compact defensive shape
- Limited attacking depth
- Can be pinned back