Group F
Jun 20, 17:00 UTC
🇳🇱 Netherlands
vs
Sweden 🇸🇪
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Netherlands | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1970 | 1800 |
| World rank | #8 | #24 |
| Expected goals | 2.15 | 0.45 |
| Win probability | 77% | 6% |
Draw probability: 17%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Netherlands are the stronger side on our ratings, by 170 points.
The case for each side
🇳🇱 Netherlands
World #8 · Rating 1970 · UEFA
Runners-up in 1974, 1978 and 2010, and the spiritual home of 'Total Football'.
🇸🇪 Sweden
World #24 · Rating 1800 · UEFA
World Cup runners-up in 1958 and semi-finalists in 1994.