Group F
Jun 14, 20:00 UTC
🇳🇱 Netherlands
vs
Japan 🇯🇵
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Netherlands | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1970 | 1850 |
| World rank | #8 | #18 |
| Expected goals | 1.90 | 0.70 |
| Win probability | 66% | 13% |
Draw probability: 21%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Netherlands are the stronger side on our ratings, by 120 points.
The case for each side
🇳🇱 Netherlands
World #8 · Rating 1970 · UEFA
Runners-up in 1974, 1978 and 2010, and the spiritual home of 'Total Football'.
🇯🇵 Japan
World #18 · Rating 1850 · AFC
Regular qualifiers who have reached the Round of 16 several times and beaten major nations.