Group A
Jun 19, 01:00 UTC
🇲🇽 Mexico
vs
South Korea 🇰🇷
1:1
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Mexico | South Korea |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1850 | 1820 |
| World rank | #17 | #20 |
| Expected goals | 1.45 | 1.15 |
| Win probability | 44% | 30% |
Draw probability: 26%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Mexico are the stronger side on our ratings, by 30 points.
The case for each side
🇲🇽 Mexico
World #17 · Rating 1850 · CONCACAF
Quarter-finalists as hosts in 1970 and 1986, with a long run of Round-of-16 finishes.
🇰🇷 South Korea
World #20 · Rating 1820 · AFC
Semi-finalists as co-hosts in 2002 and ever-present qualifiers for decades.