Group A
Jun 11, 19:00 UTC
🇲🇽 Mexico
vs
South Africa 🇿🇦
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Mexico | South Africa |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1850 | 1680 |
| World rank | #17 | #38 |
| Expected goals | 2.15 | 0.45 |
| Win probability | 77% | 6% |
Draw probability: 17%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Mexico are the stronger side on our ratings, by 170 points.
The case for each side
🇲🇽 Mexico
World #17 · Rating 1850 · CONCACAF
Quarter-finalists as hosts in 1970 and 1986, with a long run of Round-of-16 finishes.
🇿🇦 South Africa
World #38 · Rating 1680 · CAF
Hosts of the 2010 World Cup and African champions in 1996.