Group A
Jun 25, 01:00 UTC
🇲🇽 Mexico
vs
Czechia 🇨🇿
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Mexico | Czechia |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1850 | 1780 |
| World rank | #17 | #25 |
| Expected goals | 1.65 | 0.95 |
| Win probability | 54% | 22% |
Draw probability: 25%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Mexico are the stronger side on our ratings, by 70 points.
The case for each side
🇲🇽 Mexico
World #17 · Rating 1850 · CONCACAF
Quarter-finalists as hosts in 1970 and 1986, with a long run of Round-of-16 finishes.
🇨🇿 Czechia
World #25 · Rating 1780 · UEFA
As Czechoslovakia, World Cup finalists in 1934 and 1962; European runners-up in 1996.