Group F
Jun 25, 23:00 UTC
🇯🇵 Japan
vs
Sweden 🇸🇪
1:1
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Japan | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1850 | 1800 |
| World rank | #18 | #24 |
| Expected goals | 1.55 | 1.05 |
| Win probability | 49% | 26% |
Draw probability: 25%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Japan are the stronger side on our ratings, by 50 points.
The case for each side
🇯🇵 Japan
World #18 · Rating 1850 · AFC
Regular qualifiers who have reached the Round of 16 several times and beaten major nations.
🇸🇪 Sweden
World #24 · Rating 1800 · UEFA
World Cup runners-up in 1958 and semi-finalists in 1994.