Group G
Jun 16, 01:00 UTC
🇮🇷 Iran
vs
New Zealand 🇳🇿
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Iran | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1780 | 1600 |
| World rank | #26 | #45 |
| Expected goals | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Win probability | 79% | 5% |
Draw probability: 16%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Iran are the stronger side on our ratings, by 180 points.
The case for each side
🇮🇷 Iran
World #26 · Rating 1780 · AFC
Multiple World Cup appearances and a regular at the summit of Asian qualifying.
🇳🇿 New Zealand
World #45 · Rating 1600 · OFC
Famously unbeaten at the 2010 World Cup, drawing all three of their group games.