🇩🇪 Germany
Rating · Rank #8
Ivory Coast 🇨🇮
Rating · Rank #23
Draw share: 14%. Model: Elo result distribution + Poisson score reference, re-calibrated after each played match. This site provides football data analysis for sports discussion only. It does not provide betting advice, gambling tips, odds, bookmaker links, or guaranteed outcomes.
Match preview
Germany and Ivory Coast have played their Group E fixture, finishing 2–1. The pre-match model reference was 2–0, with the model getting the result right.
The result re-calibrates both ratings (Germany 1965, Ivory Coast 1795) and feeds the projections for the rest of the group, where the model now has Germany finishing 1st and Ivory Coast 2nd.
Match context and talking points
This fixture has already finished 2-1, so the notes below work as post-match context alongside the final score. The model currently places Germany 1st in Group E and Ivory Coast 2nd, making the result relevant to qualification pressure and margin for error in later games.
Germany's main strengths are Elite midfield depth and Tournament pedigree, while the chief concern to watch is Recent World Cup underperformance and Defensive consistency. For Ivory Coast, the standout qualities are Powerful midfield runners and Wide athleticism, with Defensive spacing and Group-stage history the area to monitor.
Stylistically, the two sides contrast. Germany: Organised, efficient and tactically flexible, with strong structure and modern technical depth. Ivory Coast: Strong and direct, built on athletic power and individual quality.
Strength comparison
Germany are the stronger side on our ratings, by 170 points.
Team data for this matchup
- FIFA rank
- 10th
- Head coach
- Julian Nagelsmann
- Key player
- Jamal Musiala
- Qualified
- UEFA (Europe)
- Best World Cup
- Champions x4 (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014)
Overview: Germany enter WC26 as a four-time champion trying to reset its World Cup trajectory.
World Cup history: Germany have won the World Cup four times, in 1954, 1974, 1990 and 2014. Recent finals have been poor by their standards, with group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022.
Recent form: Germany qualified from UEFA and arrive with pressure to restore their tournament standing.
2026 angle: They are Group E favorites on pedigree and squad depth, but the pressure is to show that the post-2014 decline is over. Matches against Ecuador, Ivory Coast and Curaçao will test their balance against different styles.
- Elite midfield depth
- Tournament pedigree
- Flexible attacking options
- Recent World Cup underperformance
- Defensive consistency
- FIFA rank
- 33rd
- Head coach
- Emerse Faé
- Key player
- Sébastien Haller
- Qualified
- CAF (Africa)
- Best World Cup
- Group stage
Overview: Ivory Coast return to the World Cup with a confident AFCON-winning generation and a squad rich in power and pace.
World Cup history: Ivory Coast played at the 2006, 2010 and 2014 World Cups but have not yet advanced from the group stage. WC26 is their first finals appearance since 2014.
Recent form: The Elephants topped CAF qualifying Group F to secure their place.
2026 angle: In Group E, Ivory Coast have the physical and attacking tools to challenge Germany and Ecuador. Their tournament depends on keeping defensive spacing intact while letting their runners attack open field.
- Powerful midfield runners
- Wide athleticism
- AFCON-winning confidence
- Defensive spacing
- Group-stage history