Group I
Jun 16, 19:00 UTC
🇫🇷 France
vs
Senegal 🇸🇳
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | France | Senegal |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 2080 | 1880 |
| World rank | #2 | #14 |
| Expected goals | 2.30 | 0.30 |
| Win probability | 83% | 4% |
Draw probability: 14%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
France are the stronger side on our ratings, by 200 points.
The case for each side
🇫🇷 France
World #2 · Rating 2080 · UEFA
Winners in 1998 and 2018 and finalists in 2022, Les Bleus are a modern superpower.
🇸🇳 Senegal
World #14 · Rating 1880 · CAF
World Cup quarter-finalists on their 2002 debut, with regular qualification since.