Group I
Jun 22, 21:00 UTC
🇫🇷 France
vs
Iraq 🇮🇶
3:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | France | Iraq |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 2080 | 1640 |
| World rank | #2 | #43 |
| Expected goals | 3.05 | 0.15 |
| Win probability | 93% | 1% |
Draw probability: 6%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
France are the stronger side on our ratings, by 440 points.
The case for each side
🇫🇷 France
World #2 · Rating 2080 · UEFA
Winners in 1998 and 2018 and finalists in 2022, Les Bleus are a modern superpower.
🇮🇶 Iraq
World #43 · Rating 1640 · AFC
Asian Cup champions in 2007 in one of the game's great underdog stories.