Group E
🇪🇨 Ecuador
vs
Curaçao 🇨🇼
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Ecuador | Curaçao |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1800 | 1560 |
| World rank | #23 | #48 |
| Expected goals | 2.50 | 0.15 |
| Win probability | 89% | 1% |
Draw probability: 10%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Ecuador are the stronger side on our ratings, by 240 points.
The case for each side
🇪🇨 Ecuador
World #23 · Rating 1800 · CONMEBOL
World Cup participants on several occasions, with a best finish of the Round of 16 in 2006.
🇨🇼 Curaçao
World #48 · Rating 1560 · CONCACAF
A tiny Caribbean island whose qualification is a landmark of the 48-team era.