WC26 Analysis
Full time Jun 25, 20:00 UTC
Team A

🇨🇼 Curaçao

Rating 1551 · Rank #47

FT 0:2 · Ref 0:2 · exact match
0:2
Team B

Ivory Coast 🇨🇮

Rating 1795 · Rank #23

Model result distribution
2%
12%
86%
Curaçao win Draw Ivory Coast win
Expected goals 0.21 : 2.39 Curaçao / Ivory Coast
Model result share 2% · 12% · 86% Curaçao / Draw / Ivory Coast
Power rating 1551 : 1795 Current model rating
World rank #47 : #23 Among 48 teams

Draw share: 12%. Model: Elo result distribution + Poisson score reference, re-calibrated after each played match. This site provides football data analysis for sports discussion only. It does not provide betting advice, gambling tips, odds, bookmaker links, or guaranteed outcomes.

Match preview

Curaçao and Ivory Coast have played their Group E fixture, finishing 0–2. The pre-match model reference was 0–2, matching the model exactly.

The result re-calibrates both ratings (Curaçao 1551, Ivory Coast 1795) and feeds the projections for the rest of the group, where the model now has Curaçao finishing 4th and Ivory Coast 2nd.

Match context and talking points

This fixture has already finished 0-2, so the notes below work as post-match context alongside the final score. The model currently places Curaçao 4th in Group E and Ivory Coast 2nd, making the result relevant to qualification pressure and margin for error in later games.

Curaçao's main strengths are Organized defensive block and Dutch-developed talent, while the chief concern to watch is World Cup inexperience and Limited squad depth. For Ivory Coast, the standout qualities are Powerful midfield runners and Wide athleticism, with Defensive spacing and Group-stage history the area to monitor.

Stylistically, the two sides contrast. Curaçao: Organised and tight-knit, drawing on a diaspora of talented players. Ivory Coast: Strong and direct, built on athletic power and individual quality.

Strength comparison

Curaçao 1551
1795 Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast are the stronger side on our ratings, by 244 points.

Team data for this matchup

🇨🇼 Curaçao
World rank #47 - Rating 1551
Key facts
FIFA rank
83rd
Head coach
Dick Advocaat
Key player
Leandro Bacuna
Qualified
CONCACAF
Best World Cup
Debut (2026)

Overview: Curaçao are WC26 debutants and one of the tournament's landmark underdog stories.

World Cup history: This is Curaçao's first World Cup appearance. Their qualification is historically significant for one of the smallest nations ever to reach the finals.

Recent form: Curaçao completed an unbeaten Concacaf qualifying campaign and clinched qualification with a decisive draw away to Jamaica.

2026 angle: Group E is severe, beginning with Germany and also including Ecuador and Ivory Coast, so organization will be essential. A single result could still matter in the 48-team format if they can keep matches low scoring.

Strengths
  • Organized defensive block
  • Dutch-developed talent
  • Strong team identity
Concerns
  • World Cup inexperience
  • Limited squad depth
🇨🇮 Ivory Coast
World rank #23 - Rating 1795
Key facts
FIFA rank
33rd
Head coach
Emerse Faé
Key player
Sébastien Haller
Qualified
CAF (Africa)
Best World Cup
Group stage

Overview: Ivory Coast return to the World Cup with a confident AFCON-winning generation and a squad rich in power and pace.

World Cup history: Ivory Coast played at the 2006, 2010 and 2014 World Cups but have not yet advanced from the group stage. WC26 is their first finals appearance since 2014.

Recent form: The Elephants topped CAF qualifying Group F to secure their place.

2026 angle: In Group E, Ivory Coast have the physical and attacking tools to challenge Germany and Ecuador. Their tournament depends on keeping defensive spacing intact while letting their runners attack open field.

Strengths
  • Powerful midfield runners
  • Wide athleticism
  • AFCON-winning confidence
Concerns
  • Defensive spacing
  • Group-stage history