Group L
Jun 27, 21:00 UTC
🇭🇷 Croatia
vs
Ghana 🇬🇭
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Croatia | Ghana |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1920 | 1730 |
| World rank | #11 | #34 |
| Expected goals | 2.25 | 0.35 |
| Win probability | 81% | 4% |
Draw probability: 15%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Croatia are the stronger side on our ratings, by 190 points.
The case for each side
🇭🇷 Croatia
World #11 · Rating 1920 · UEFA
World Cup finalists in 2018 and third-place finishers in 1998 and 2022.
🇬🇭 Ghana
World #34 · Rating 1730 · CAF
Quarter-finalists in 2010, agonisingly close to becoming Africa's first semi-finalists.