Group G
Jun 21, 19:00 UTC
🇧🇪 Belgium
vs
Iran 🇮🇷
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Belgium | Iran |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1950 | 1780 |
| World rank | #9 | #26 |
| Expected goals | 2.15 | 0.45 |
| Win probability | 77% | 6% |
Draw probability: 17%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Belgium are the stronger side on our ratings, by 170 points.
The case for each side
🇧🇪 Belgium
World #9 · Rating 1950 · UEFA
Their best finish was third place at the 2018 World Cup.
🇮🇷 Iran
World #26 · Rating 1780 · AFC
Multiple World Cup appearances and a regular at the summit of Asian qualifying.