Group H
Jun 15, 22:00 UTC
🇺🇾 Uruguay
vs
Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Uruguay | Saudi Arabia |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1930 | 1680 |
| World rank | #10 | #39 |
| Expected goals | 2.55 | 0.15 |
| Win probability | 89% | 1% |
Draw probability: 10%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Uruguay are the stronger side on our ratings, by 250 points.
The case for each side
🇺🇾 Uruguay
World #10 · Rating 1930 · CONMEBOL
Two-time champions (1930 and 1950) who continue to punch far above their population.
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
World #39 · Rating 1680 · AFC
Reached the Round of 16 in 1994 and famously beat Argentina in 2022.