Group D
Jun 26, 02:00 UTC
🇺🇸 United States
vs
Türkiye 🇹🇷
1:1
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | United States | Türkiye |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1830 | 1820 |
| World rank | #19 | #21 |
| Expected goals | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Win probability | 39% | 34% |
Draw probability: 26%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
United States are the stronger side on our ratings, by 10 points.
The case for each side
🇺🇸 United States
World #19 · Rating 1830 · CONCACAF
Semi-finalists in 1930 and quarter-finalists in 2002, now backed by a deep young core.
🇹🇷 Türkiye
World #21 · Rating 1820 · UEFA
Their standout World Cup was a third-place finish in 2002.