Group D
Jun 14, 04:00 UTC
🇹🇷 Türkiye
vs
Australia 🇦🇺
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Türkiye | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1820 | 1760 |
| World rank | #21 | #30 |
| Expected goals | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Win probability | 51% | 24% |
Draw probability: 25%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Türkiye are the stronger side on our ratings, by 60 points.
The case for each side
🇹🇷 Türkiye
World #21 · Rating 1820 · UEFA
Their standout World Cup was a third-place finish in 2002.
🇦🇺 Australia
World #30 · Rating 1760 · AFC
Round of 16 finishes in 2006 and 2022 since joining the Asian confederation.