Group H
Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
🇪🇸 Spain
vs
Uruguay 🇺🇾
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Spain | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 2070 | 1930 |
| World rank | #3 | #10 |
| Expected goals | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Win probability | 70% | 10% |
Draw probability: 19%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Spain are the stronger side on our ratings, by 140 points.
The case for each side
🇪🇸 Spain
World #3 · Rating 2070 · UEFA
World Cup winners in 2010 and back-to-back European champions during their golden era.
🇺🇾 Uruguay
World #10 · Rating 1930 · CONMEBOL
Two-time champions (1930 and 1950) who continue to punch far above their population.