Group I
Jun 23, 00:00 UTC
πΈπ³ Senegal
vs
Norway π³π΄
1:1
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Senegal | Norway |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1880 | 1860 |
| World rank | #14 | #16 |
| Expected goals | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Win probability | 42% | 32% |
Draw probability: 26%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only β not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Senegal are the stronger side on our ratings, by 20 points.
The case for each side
πΈπ³ Senegal
World #14 Β· Rating 1880 Β· CAF
World Cup quarter-finalists on their 2002 debut, with regular qualification since.
π³π΄ Norway
World #16 Β· Rating 1860 Β· UEFA
Historically intermittent at the World Cup, with their best run the 1998 Round of 16.