Group K
Jun 27, 23:30 UTC
🇵🇹 Portugal
vs
Colombia 🇨🇴
1:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Portugal | Colombia |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 2030 | 1910 |
| World rank | #5 | #12 |
| Expected goals | 1.90 | 0.70 |
| Win probability | 66% | 13% |
Draw probability: 21%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Portugal are the stronger side on our ratings, by 120 points.
The case for each side
🇵🇹 Portugal
World #5 · Rating 2030 · UEFA
European champions in 2016, with a best World Cup finish of fourth (1966 and 2006).
🇨🇴 Colombia
World #12 · Rating 1910 · CONMEBOL
Their finest World Cup run was the 2014 quarter-final, and they remain a fixture of CONMEBOL's upper tier.