Group I
Jun 16, 22:00 UTC
🇳🇴 Norway
vs
Iraq 🇮🇶
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Norway | Iraq |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1860 | 1640 |
| World rank | #16 | #43 |
| Expected goals | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| Win probability | 86% | 2% |
Draw probability: 11%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Norway are the stronger side on our ratings, by 220 points.
The case for each side
🇳🇴 Norway
World #16 · Rating 1860 · UEFA
Historically intermittent at the World Cup, with their best run the 1998 Round of 16.
🇮🇶 Iraq
World #43 · Rating 1640 · AFC
Asian Cup champions in 2007 in one of the game's great underdog stories.