Group F
Jun 25, 23:00 UTC
🇳🇱 Netherlands
vs
Tunisia 🇹🇳
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Netherlands | Tunisia |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1970 | 1690 |
| World rank | #8 | #37 |
| Expected goals | 2.70 | 0.15 |
| Win probability | 90% | 1% |
Draw probability: 8%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Netherlands are the stronger side on our ratings, by 280 points.
The case for each side
🇳🇱 Netherlands
World #8 · Rating 1970 · UEFA
Runners-up in 1974, 1978 and 2010, and the spiritual home of 'Total Football'.
🇹🇳 Tunisia
World #37 · Rating 1690 · CAF
Regular World Cup qualifiers who are traditionally tough to break down.