Group F
Jun 21, 04:00 UTC
🇯🇵 Japan
vs
Tunisia 🇹🇳
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Japan | Tunisia |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1850 | 1690 |
| World rank | #18 | #37 |
| Expected goals | 2.10 | 0.50 |
| Win probability | 75% | 8% |
Draw probability: 18%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Japan are the stronger side on our ratings, by 160 points.
The case for each side
🇯🇵 Japan
World #18 · Rating 1850 · AFC
Regular qualifiers who have reached the Round of 16 several times and beaten major nations.
🇹🇳 Tunisia
World #37 · Rating 1690 · CAF
Regular World Cup qualifiers who are traditionally tough to break down.