Group E
Jun 25, 20:00 UTC
🇩🇪 Germany
vs
Ecuador 🇪🇨
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Germany | Ecuador |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1980 | 1800 |
| World rank | #7 | #23 |
| Expected goals | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Win probability | 79% | 5% |
Draw probability: 16%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Germany are the stronger side on our ratings, by 180 points.
The case for each side
🇩🇪 Germany
World #7 · Rating 1980 · UEFA
Winners in 1954, 1974, 1990 and 2014, with a record of remarkable consistency.
🇪🇨 Ecuador
World #23 · Rating 1800 · CONMEBOL
World Cup participants on several occasions, with a best finish of the Round of 16 in 2006.