Group I
Jun 26, 19:00 UTC
🇫🇷 France
vs
Norway 🇳🇴
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | France | Norway |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 2080 | 1860 |
| World rank | #2 | #16 |
| Expected goals | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| Win probability | 86% | 2% |
Draw probability: 11%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
France are the stronger side on our ratings, by 220 points.
The case for each side
🇫🇷 France
World #2 · Rating 2080 · UEFA
Winners in 1998 and 2018 and finalists in 2022, Les Bleus are a modern superpower.
🇳🇴 Norway
World #16 · Rating 1860 · UEFA
Historically intermittent at the World Cup, with their best run the 1998 Round of 16.