Group L
Jun 23, 23:00 UTC
🇭🇷 Croatia
vs
Panama 🇵🇦
2:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Croatia | Panama |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1920 | 1660 |
| World rank | #11 | #41 |
| Expected goals | 2.60 | 0.15 |
| Win probability | 90% | 1% |
Draw probability: 9%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Croatia are the stronger side on our ratings, by 260 points.
The case for each side
🇭🇷 Croatia
World #11 · Rating 1920 · UEFA
World Cup finalists in 2018 and third-place finishers in 1998 and 2022.
🇵🇦 Panama
World #41 · Rating 1660 · CONCACAF
Reached their first World Cup in 2018, a landmark moment for the nation.