Group G
Jun 27, 03:00 UTC
🇧🇪 Belgium
vs
New Zealand 🇳🇿
3:0
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Belgium | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1950 | 1600 |
| World rank | #9 | #45 |
| Expected goals | 3.05 | 0.15 |
| Win probability | 93% | 1% |
Draw probability: 6%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Belgium are the stronger side on our ratings, by 350 points.
The case for each side
🇧🇪 Belgium
World #9 · Rating 1950 · UEFA
Their best finish was third place at the 2018 World Cup.
🇳🇿 New Zealand
World #45 · Rating 1600 · OFC
Famously unbeaten at the 2010 World Cup, drawing all three of their group games.