Group D
Jun 26, 02:00 UTC
🇦🇺 Australia
vs
Paraguay 🇵🇾
1:1
Predicted most-likely scoreline
| Metric | Australia | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| Power rating (current) | 1760 | 1720 |
| World rank | #30 | #35 |
| Expected goals | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Win probability | 46% | 28% |
Draw probability: 26%. Model: Elo win expectancy + Poisson scoreline, re-calibrated after each played match. Entertainment only — not betting advice.
Strength comparison
Australia are the stronger side on our ratings, by 40 points.
The case for each side
🇦🇺 Australia
World #30 · Rating 1760 · AFC
Round of 16 finishes in 2006 and 2022 since joining the Asian confederation.
🇵🇾 Paraguay
World #35 · Rating 1720 · CONMEBOL
Their high point was the 2010 World Cup quarter-final, and they are traditionally hard to beat.